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Nigeria landscape

5in5 Impact Alliance

Nigeria — FLN Provider Landscape

as of November 2026

Active Providers

4

NewGlobe, TaRL Africa, PLANE, EIDU (pilot)

Estimated Learners

1.68M per year

Most recent reported year: KwaraLEARN 187,000, EKOEXCEL 400,000 (restarting), BayelsaPRIME 50,000, TaRL Africa 436,453, PLANE 607,701.

Strongest Evidence

+0.41 SD

PLANE Window 1, literacy and numeracy, quasi-experimental (Kano, Kaduna, Jigawa)

Cost Range

$3.38–$43.38 per learner per year

TaRL $3.38 (states add $3.58), PLANE $9.30, BayelsaPRIME $10, KwaraLEARN $20, EKOEXCEL $43.38 (restarting)

Where Providers Operate

Kano

  • PLANE
    Programme
    Window 1: foundational learning
    Learners reached
    Not yet reported
    Cost / learner / yr
    $9.30
  • TaRL Africa
    Programme
    TaRL (government-led, P4–6)
    Learners reached
    59,228 (2025/26)
    Cost / learner / yr
    $3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)

Programmes by State

AdamawaTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, P4–6)No 2025/26 reach reported$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
BayelsaNewGlobeBayelsaPRIME50,000$10
BornoPLANEWindow 2: education in emergenciesNot yet reportedNot yet reported
BornoTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, P4–6)21,664 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
FCT (Abuja)TaRL AfricaTaRL Africa Nigeria HQn/an/a
JigawaPLANEWindow 1: foundational learningNot yet reported$9.30
JigawaTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, P4–6)37,052 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
KadunaPLANEWindow 1: foundational learningNot yet reported$9.30
KadunaTaRL AfricaTaRL (government-led, P4–6)178,165 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
KanoPLANEWindow 1: foundational learningNot yet reported$9.30
KanoTaRL AfricaTaRL (government-led, P4–6)59,228 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
KatsinaTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, out-of-school)Starting 2026$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
KebbiTaRL AfricaTaRL (government-led, P4–6)42,286 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
KwaraNewGlobeKwaraLEARN187,000$20
LagosNewGlobeEKOEXCEL400,000$43.38
LagosTaRL AfricaTaRL (government-led, P4–6)10,637 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
NigerTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, P4–6)Starting 2026$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
SokotoTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, P4–6)60,439 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
YobePLANEWindow 2: education in emergenciesNot yet reportedNot yet reported
YobeTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, P4–6)18,335 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
ZamfaraTaRL AfricaTaRL (partner-supported, out-of-school)8,647 (2025/26)$3.38 (+$3.58 gov.)
NewGlobeTaRL AfricaEIDUPLANE

Locations are provider-reported, as of November 2026.

TaRL Africa: $3.38 is TaRL's cost per learner. State governments also spend $3.58 per learner on teacher training, materials and monitoring. State-by-state historical costs are on the TaRL Africa profile.

Cost & Reach

Providers active in Nigeria

Cost per Learner / Year (USD)

Dashed bars indicate data not yet published.

Total Reach (Learners)

Nigeria learners per year, most recent reported year.

Nigeria Providers and Learning Gains

Evidence quality and scale as of November 2026.

Consolidated Programme Group

NewGlobeEstablished model

3 state programmes, each run with a different state government.. Costs vary by programme; total reach aggregated across programmes with published counts.

Total learners per year

637,000 per year

Most recent reported year, including EKOEXCEL at its last reported level while restarting.

Cost per learner

$10–$43.38 / yr

Evidence

Quasi-experimental across programmes; see per-programme detail below.

Programme breakdown

ProgrammeStatusLearnersCost / learnerEvidence highlight
BayelsaPRIME (Bayelsa)
In about half of the state's schools since January 2023. State seeking to fund full-state coverage for a further two years.
Active50,000$10/yr+3.0 to +22.9 cwpm (0.22–0.57 SD) · diff-in-diff; largest gains in Grades 4–5
EKOEXCEL (Lagos)
1,000 schools
Restarting400,000$43.38/yrUpdate pending+2.2 to +2.4 cwpm (0.05–0.11 SD) · 7-week diff-in-diff, COVID-shortened
KwaraLEARN (Kwara)
~1,600 schools. Insecurity closed about half of schools for roughly half of the past year.
Active (to be confirmed)187,000$20/yr+3.2 to +21.5 cwpm (0.18–0.49 SD) · pre/post, no comparison group

* KwaraLEARN: 187,000 shown. NewGlobe's September 2026 pipeline update reports 200,000. To be confirmed. Cost per NewGlobe (October 2026): under $20 per student.

* BayelsaPRIME: Cost per NewGlobe (October 2026): under $10 per student.

* NewGlobe unit costs are about a year old. NewGlobe reports its AI tools have materially changed its cost base; updated figures requested (Oct 2026).

Pipeline and Funding Need (provider-supplied, September 2026)

StateCurrent statusFunding askProjected reach
Kwara
Governor reviewing a proposal for support across all primary schools for ~2 years; expansion into ECE and junior secondary under discussion. Programme status being confirmed.
Active (to be confirmed)$16M305,000 (+118,000)
LagosRestarting$11M524,000 (+124,000)
BayelsaActive$7M+56,000 (total not provided)

Provider-supplied and not independently verified.

Teaching at the Right Level
Website

436,453

learners in 2025/26

2.02M since inception (cumulative)

Pre-post (no control)Established model

+26.6 pp

more Grade 4–6 learners at target maths level (Nigeria, 2025/26, ASER, pre/post)

ASER, baseline to endline 2025/26, 436,453 learners, 9 states. English +12.1 pp, local language +12.6 pp. Multi-country RCTs (J-PAL/IPA) support the TaRL approach.

Cost / learner · Nigeria

$3.38 / yr

TaRL Africa's cost. State governments spend a further $3.58 per learner on training, materials and monitoring.

Capital needed

$12.6M to 2030

TaRL technical assistance to reach 3.73M learners. State governments fund a further $13.3M in implementation.

Nigeria Program

TaRL Africa is supporting state government adoption of Teaching at the Right Level in Nigerian states, working alongside SUBEBs.

Nigeria Scale

12 states

Government-led: Kaduna, Kebbi, Kano, Lagos. Partner-supported: Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Zamfara, Sokoto, Katsina, Jigawa, Niger.

Global Reach

Direct government support in 6 countries; 17+ with partners · 7M+ learners since 2015 (cumulative)

Growth Plan

3.73M learners by 2030 across 12 states

Active Countries

NigeriaKenyaZambiaGhana+ others

Data Gaps

  • School and teacher counts
  • Cost for 6 newer states
  • Independent evaluation in Nigeria
Full TaRL Africa profile →
PLANE (Partnership for Learning for All in Nigeria)
Website

607,701

Window 1 learners in 2024/25

1.40M since 2021 (cumulative)

Quasi-experimentalEstablished programme

+0.41 SD

literacy and numeracy, Window 1, 2022–24

Cost / learner

$9.30 / yr

Nigeria Program

UK government (FCDO) programme with federal and state governments. Window 1: structured pedagogy and teacher coaching in Kano, Kaduna and Jigawa. Window 2: education in emergencies in Borno and Yobe. Window 3: community catch-up learning.

Nigeria Scale

Kano, Kaduna, Jigawa

Global Reach

Nigeria

Growth Plan

Kano and Jigawa governments taking the model statewide. Programme runs to 2028; UK funding reductions expected from April 2026.

Active Countries

Nigeria
Full PLANE profile
EIDU
Website

Pilot

state-level pilot

PilotPilot

+6 months

extra learning (Kenya evidence, translatable)

+6 months of extra learning is from the Kenya RCT (Major et al. 2025). Nigeria evidence pending. Equivalent-months measures depend on the benchmark used; cwpm figures to be requested.

Cost / learner · Kenya rate

<$10/yr

Nigeria cost pending. The under-$10 figure is the Kenya rate.

Capital needed

Not published

Nigeria Program

Tablet-based adaptive FLN platform for early primary; state government partnership under exploration following Kenya model.

State partnerships being confirmed

State partnerships being confirmed

Global Reach

Kenya + Nigeria

790K+ Kenya learners

Growth Plan

State government partnership scale-up

Active Countries

NigeriaKenya

Data Gaps

  • Confirmed state partners
  • Nigeria learner counts

Nigeria Learning Gains by State

Each NewGlobe programme is run with a different state government, so each row is a separate state's result.

ProgrammeStateMeasureResultDesignPeriod
BayelsaPRIME (NewGlobe)BayelsaOral reading fluency+3.0 to +22.9 cwpm vs comparison (0.22–0.57 SD)Diff-in-diffJan 2023 – Jun 2025
KwaraLEARN (NewGlobe)KwaraOral reading fluency+3.2 to +21.5 cwpm (0.18–0.49 SD)Pre/postApr 2022 – Jul 2023
EKOEXCEL (NewGlobe)LagosOral reading fluency+2.2 to +2.4 cwpm (0.05–0.11 SD)Diff-in-diff, 7 weeks (COVID-shortened)Jan – Mar 2020
PLANE Window 1Kano, Kaduna, JigawaLiteracy and numeracy+0.41 SDQuasi-experimental2022 – 2024
TaRL AfricaNigeria (all TaRL states)Grade 4–6 at target levelMaths +26.6 pp (15.8% → 42.4%) · English +12.1 pp · Local language +12.6 ppPre/post (ASER)2025/26
TaRL AfricaKanoGrade 4–6 at target levelMaths 11% → 46% (+35 pp) · English 6% → 18% · Local language 5% → 20%Pre/post (ASER)2025/26
TaRL AfricaKebbiGrade 4–6 at target levelMaths 12% → 32% (+20 pp) · English 4% → 17% · Local language 5% → 19%Pre/post (ASER)2025/26
TaRL AfricaKadunaGrade 4–6 at target levelMaths 28% → 42% (+14 pp) · English 11% → 18% · Local language 11% → 19%Pre/post (ASER)2025/26
TaRL AfricaLagosGrade 4–6 at target levelMaths 54% → 73% (+19 pp) · English 28% → 41% · Local language 6% → 17%Pre/post (ASER)2025/26
TaRL AfricaJigawaGrade 4–6 at target levelMaths 2% → 17% (+15 pp) · English 0% → 5% · Local language 1% → 5%Pre/post (ASER)2025/26

TaRL target levels: local language = story, English = paragraph, maths = subtraction and above. Kano, Kebbi and Kaduna have run TaRL for 3+ years; Lagos and Jigawa for 1–2 years.

What the gains mean in grade levels (NewGlobe, provider-reported)

Grade-level comparisons from NewGlobe's state programme reporting (5in5 Country Overviews, September 2025). Provider-reported and not independently verified.

StateProgrammeGrade-level resultOther reported gains
BayelsaBayelsaPRIMEStudents gained more than one grade level since programme startReading comprehension doubled; share of non-readers by P5 halved; public school enrolment up 11% in 2 years
KwaraKwaraLEARNP4 students now outperform P5 students not in the programme (a full grade level in foundational reading)Progress on complex numeracy (division) doubled
LagosEKOEXCELP2 students perform at the level of P5–P6 students not in the programmeNon-readers in P1–5 down 50%; P2–5 learning deprivation down 40 pp; word-problem solving up 30 pp; learning poverty down 40%

World Bank Opportunity Landscape

Education facilities in Nigeria as of November 2026

Project NameTypeCommitment ($M)Months Remaining on LoanStatusFLN MatchLinks
HOPE for Quality Basic Education for AllLoan$552.18MTo confirmActiveHigh
PIDPAD
Better Education Service Delivery for All Operation — Additional FinancingLoan$123.8MTo confirmActiveHigh
PIDPAD

Known Active Funders in Nigeria FLN

Gates Foundation

Portfolio-wide FLN investments across Sub-Saharan Africa; known funder of TaRL Africa.

MacArthur Foundation

Long-standing Nigeria portfolio including education governance.

How Catalytic Funding Scales Proven Solutions

  1. Step 1

    Philanthropic Risk Capital

    Funding to de-risk innovations in public schools.

  2. Step 2

    De-risking Innovation

    Independently verifying effectiveness and unit costs at scale.

  3. Step 3

    Government Co-Investment

    Unlock long-term funding of solutions through public budgets and systems.

  4. Step 4

    Systemic Scale

    Long-term, widespread impact: government-owned, publicly financed, and sustainable.

Our model lowers unit costs, allowing programs to reach more students in less time.

Proven solutions exist in Nigeria. Scale does not.

Growth Funding Insufficient

Effective programs grow incrementally, not exponentially, despite the need for speed and scale.

Learning Gains Are Not Sustained

Without sustained engagement, learning gains taper over time.

Validated Learning Gains Are Sparse

The majority of impact data focuses on outputs, not outcomes.

Inadequate Focus on Unit Cost

Unit cost is not disaggregated and tracked over time to drive cost efficiency.

Funder / TSP Opportunity Summary

Nigeria hosts the largest out-of-school population in Sub-Saharan Africa and one of the deepest World Bank education portfolios — HOPE and BESDA together represent over $675M in World Bank commitments — but on-the-ground FLN TSP density remains thin outside northern states.

The highest-leverage opportunity is state-government adoption connected to World Bank financing (HOPE and BESDA), building on four providers already working with Nigerian states: NewGlobe in Kwara, Lagos and Bayelsa, TaRL Africa in 12 states, PLANE in Kano, Kaduna and Jigawa, and EIDU's emerging state partnerships.

Nigeria country platform · 5in5 internal research.